Tag: riding-a-complicated-world
All the articles with the tag "riding-a-complicated-world".
Let your unread books pile up
My unread pile grows faster than I can read it, and after three passes through one book I stopped treating a shelf of finished books as knowledge I own.
How to be better than a honeybee
A bee that can't describe what it found dances nonsense anyway, and so do people who answer every question with confidence. Here's how to say only what you actually know.
Why the best explanation isn't the most accurate one
An explanation is judged by whether the other person understood it, and buying that understanding usually costs you some precision.
You don't need to predict the future
A paper on how founders think splits reasoning into two kinds, and the second one builds the future instead of forecasting it.
You can't draw a doorknob
Try sketching a doorknob from memory and you'll see how thin your model of the world is, and why forecasts keep missing.